The impending revenge of 2020
Incumbent President Joe Biden of the Democratic Party has announced his intention to run for re-election in April 2023. Although overall opinions of Joe Biden are generally high compared to other world leaders, Biden has seen persistently low approval rates across the United States since his inauguration. In addition to the drop in approval on several topicsmany have a personally unfavorable view of Biden, with about 60% of adults viewing him as a weak leader in 2023. Despite growing public concern over Biden’s decision to run for re-election, few leading alternatives remain. Although it is rarely a question whether an incumbent will receive their party’s presidential nomination, a number of Democratic candidates have thrown their hat in the ring.
Republican frontrunner Donald Trump has faced a number of legal challenges, including his disputed voter eligibility, two impeachments by the House of Representatives and nearly 100 criminal charges for election interference. attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 election, falsification of records and mishandling of classified information. However, the former president still enjoys the support of more than half of the republican party and remains the most funded candidate in the 2024 race. Despite initial efforts to challenge Trump in the Republican primaries, all candidates except former Nikki Haley, Governor of South Carolina have since dropped out of the race.
The rise of independent voters
In January 2024, polls in the key states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin showed President Joe Biden trailing the former President Donald Trump. the seven battlefield states. Although they are currently in the lead, the majority of Americans I don’t want Joe Biden or Donald Trump to run for president in 2024. Both candidates, Joe Biden, 80, and Donald Trump, 77, are raising growing concerns about their age and the possibility of another term. Partly because of the widespread lack of enthusiasm for the two presidential candidates, interest in alternative options has increased, resulting in a record share of independent voters. Former Green Party member Cornel West and former Democratic candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. are running independently. Support varies widely across generations, with more than half of Gen Z and millennials identifying as independent and more than 40 percent. having considered voting independently during the next elections.
What are the issues that concern voters?
With jobs being a major political question For American voters, a lot of emphasis is placed on job creation in the discourse surrounding presidents and Congress. Some consider that the number of jobs created by a president is directly linked to the success of his mandate. Additionally, policies such as tax reform, deregulation, and infrastructure investments are important to voters because of their influence on the business environment, job creation, and unemployment. Although the American economy has strengthened, many Americans do not experience this in their daily lives. Nationwide, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) continued to rise and with it the cost of living, leaving many Americans I’m struggling to make ends meet.
Other significant economic indicators among voters are taxes and government spending. While Republicans would prefer to see government spending on programs like Social Security or Medicare reduced, those in the Democratic Party favor cutting government spending. more likely to advocate increasing taxes on wealthier individuals to compensate for the deficit. Despite the tendency of both parties to blame each other for the financial problems affecting the nation, a significant debt has accumulated. under presidents of both parties.
Abortion remains a controversial subject in the United States, securing its place as a powerful campaign tool until 2024. In 2022, the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, granting states the power to completely ban abortion if they choose. This decision was a mobilizing force for voters and will likely remain a defining issue throughout the election. Additionally, in response to continuing mass shootings across the country, the debate around gun ownership has expanded, with nearly twice as many Democrats as Republicans advocating for one. stricter gun regulations. Other partisan issues include climate change and the environment, as well as access to health care, LGBTQ rights and immigration. The issue of immigration, one of the country’s oldest debates, remains relevant across the country. Along with growing Republican support for restrictive immigration, Democratic support for open immigration has increased. Growing polarization between the two parties has hindered productive reforms, resulting in dissatisfaction on all sides.
Trust in the age of misinformation
Reinforced by decreasing confidence in the government and its agenciesa considerable number of Republicans refused to recognize the results of the 2020 election. This led Trump supporters to storm the Capitol building during the certification of the election results on January 6, 2021. Trump’s responsibility for the Capitol attacks remains a divisive political debate, with many convinced that Trump’s role in the events should disqualify him from running for president in 2024. Even though nearly a third of voters thought the The 2020 elections contained high levels of voter fraud confidence in the results of the 2024 elections remains to be verified.
Additionally, the emergence of partisan media on both ends of the political spectrum has given rise to growing concerns about disinformation and fake news, which have been limited to widespread use. exacerbated by advances in artificial intelligence. In 2023, only about 10% of Republicans in the United States \trusts the media to report the news completely, accurately and fairly, compared to 68 percent of Democrats. Republican and Democratic voters give their confidence different sources of political informationmaking it all the more difficult to ensure accurate information, build trust and bridge political divisions.
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