January 3, 2025
The majority of the public is confident that the vote count in the 2024 presidential election was accurate, even though they have more confidence in the vote count in their own locality or state than in the nation’s.
Democrats and Republicans have similar levels of confidence that votes were counted accurately across the board in the 2024 presidential election. Independents are less confident, with only a third believing the vote count nationally was accurate. Even at the local level, while 71% of Democrats and Republicans express confidence in the vote count, only 48% of independents agree.
Age is also correlated with opinions about the accuracy of the electoral vote count, with younger adults less likely to have confidence in the count than those who are older.
Before the election, the public was more suspicious of the accuracy of vote counting. According to the October 2024 AP-NORC poll, 47% of the public were confident that the 2024 presidential vote would be counted correctly, compared to 57% in December.
The national poll was conducted December 5-9, 2024 using the AmeriSpeak® Panel, the University of Chicago NORC’s probability panel. Online and telephone interviews via landlines and cell phones were conducted with 1,251 adults. The overall margin of sampling error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.
