When the surveys closed in Nevada during the 2024 presidential election, the state was considered competitive by the closest disciples, but we did not think they are really in play on the whole. Among the main states of Swing in 2024, Nevada was one of the most coherent democratic swing states in the 2008-2024 era. However, as the following results show, as divided between the senior and lower counties by the population, the republican candidate in 2024 and the former President of the United States from 2016 to 2010, won Nevada during the 2024 election.
General information
Nevada was admitted as a state by the republican party led by Abraham Lincoln on October 31st1864, in auspicious circumstances. The criticism of President Lincoln accused Lincoln to introduce Nevada as a state to strengthen the Republican Electoral College Advanter Edge at that time, the president of Lincoln denied, rather declaring that he wanted to give some of the Western territories of the United States, the official recognition of the States. Nevada, after this point, crossed several periods of rule of the Democratic and Republican Party, a pinging between the two political parties for various offices before becoming a republican state during the period of 1968-1988. In 1992, President Bill Clinton won the state with a plurality of the vote (37.36%) to the two main opposite candidates, then President George HW Bush (who received 34.73%of the votes) and an eccentric third -party candidate and a prosperous businessman Ross Perot (who took 26.19%). Bill Clinton would then won 43.93% -42.91% against Bob Dole, an American Kansas senator and the 1996 presidential candidate. However, in 2000, the Nevada returned to this previous republican form, with the republican presidential candidate George W. Bush (the son of George Hw Bush) (Vice-President of Clinton and Democratic candidate for the presidency) 49.5% to 46% in the state. George W. Bush would then carry the State in 2004, a re -election offer from 50.5% to 47.9%, a slight decrease compared to the amount he won by the State in 2000, despite the popular vote in 2004. Democratic senator Harry Reid, the future chief of the majority of the Democratic Senate, created a basic political machine. The Democratic Party from 2005 to 2008 began to make more investments in the State before the 2008 presidential election, in which President George W. Bush would be limited again due to the duration of the limits of the presidents.
In 2008, a disaster struck the economy when a break-up of bank and housing bubbles, causing a serious economic slowdown which the United States is still recovering in some respects. This event, which struck the state of Nevada with a force higher than that of certain other states because of the type of state’s single economy, coupled with generalized democratic dissatisfaction with Afghanistan and Iraq Wars, has created a perfect storm for the Democratic presidential candidate, Barack Obama, who won the Nevada 55.2% Nominal of Republican John McCain. Obama, in its re -election offer in 2012, would win the state of 52.4% to 45.7% compared to the Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney, a significant decrease in the margin.
During the 2016 presidential campaign, a hardened and unpleasant case between the two presidential candidates, Donald Trump for the Republicans and Hillary Clinton for the Democrats, Clinton would win the state in his defeat against Trump 47.9%to 45.5%, about a margin of 2.5%. In 2020, President Joe Biden (Obama vice -president for the two terms of Obama) would win the state 50.1% -47.7%, which was a slight decrease in the winning margin of Clinton four years earlier.
In other words, even if President Biden increased the share of democratic votes in popular vote, Biden won by the same percentage of margin that Hillary Clinton made four Yeas earlier with a small plurality of the national vote. In 2024, all of this would change as the “Reid machine” finally broke down, allowing the Republican candidate to win the state for the first time since the narrow victory of George W. Bush in 2004.
Electoral data and cards
| County | Trump (R) | HARRIS (D) | Other | Total | Asset% | Harris% |
| Carson City | 16,873 | 13,375 | 820 | 31 068 | 54.31% | 43.05% |
| Churchill | 9 962 | 3,179 | 362 | 13,503 | 73.78% | 23.54% |
| Clark | 493 052 | 520 187 | 17 984 | 1,031,223 | 47.81% | 50.44% |
| Douglas | 23 237 | 11,553 | 766 | 35 556 | 65.35% | 32.49% |
| Elko | 17,352 | 4,632 | 481 | 22,465 | 77.24% | 20.62% |
| Esmeralda | 376 | 73 | 12 | 461 | 81.56% | 15.84% |
| Eureka | 910 | 104 | 22 | 1,036 | 87.84% | 10.04% |
| Humboldt | 6 141 | 1,711 | 178 | 8 030 | 76.48% | 21.31% |
| Arbitrator | 2,180 | 482 | 63 | 2,725 | 80.00% | 17.69% |
| Lincoln | 2,108 | 314 | 50 | 2,472 | 85.28% | 12.70% |
| Lyon | 23,861 | 8 954 | 726 | 33 541 | 71.14% | 26.70% |
| Mineral | 1,528 | 711 | 56 | 2 295 | 66.58% | 30.98% |
| Nye | 18 946 | 7,559 | 492 | 26 997 | 70.18% | 28.00% |
| Pershyte | 1,764 | 496 | 48 | 2,308 | 76.43% | 21.49% |
| Floor | 2,108 | 913 | 54 | 3,075 | 68.55% | 29.69% |
| Washoe | 127,443 | 130,071 | 6 220 | 263 734 | 48.32% | 49.32% |
| White pine | 3,364 | 883 | 104 | 4 351 | 77.32% | 20.29% |
| Total | 751 205 | 705.197 | 28,438 | 1,484,840 | 50.59% | 47.49% |
| Margin | R +46 008 | R + 3.10% |
County divisions by the population (by population)
| Clark / Washoe | 620 495 | 650 258 | 4,234 | 1,270,753 | 48.83% | 51.17% |
| D +29 763 | D + 2.34% | |||||
| Rest of state | 130 710 | 54 939 | 4,234 | 189 883 | 68.84% | 28.93% |
| R +75 771 | R + 39.90% |
Election results
During the presidential election of Nevada, President Trump was able to win the state by limiting the Democratic Vice-President and the victory of the presidential candidate in 2024, Kamala Harris, in Clark (who houses Las Vegas) and Washoe (housing Reno) a net of 29,763 votes while winning the two counties of 2.34%. However, apart from these two counties, Trump won the rest of the state by 75,771 votes, an advantage of 39.9%, allowing him to win the Swing state of Nevada by 46,008 votes on some 1,484,840 votes.
With Trump’s victory in Nevada, the state seems to be a swing state in the future, the Republicans making voters’ recording gains in recent years. The state will certainly be closely disputed at the presidential level during the 2028 presidential election, which makes one to watch in the future.
