With just two months to go until the November US election, polls ahead of Labor Day weekend 2024 show Vice President Kamala Harris holding a narrow lead over Donald Trump in key swing states.
Former US President and Republican candidate Donald Trump initially made headway against his Democratic rival, Kamala Harris, in the race for the presidency. However, according to a report from NBC NewsHarris is outperforming Trump in almost every national poll, even within the margins of error.
According to Pew Research, the margin of error represents “how close we can reasonably expect a survey result to be to the true population value.”
The latest Wall Street Journal polls show Kamala Harris with 48 percent of the vote, while Donald Trump consistently scored 47 percent, within the margin of error.
The Wall Street Journal, EPIC-MRA Michigan and Bloomberg/Morning Consult polls in Georgia and Michigan all have him in the same position. This marks a reversal from polls observed before Joe Biden’s withdrawal.
Polls in key states
Bloomberg/Morning Consult polls show Harris leading Trump, within the margin of error, in Georgia (50%), Michigan (49%), Nevada (50%) and Pennsylvania (51%).
In Wisconsin, a key state, the vice president leads Trump by a wider margin of 53%.
Arizona and North Carolina, on the other hand, showed a Tight competition between Trump and HarrisThis stands in stark contrast to Joe Biden’s performance in his re-election campaign, when he struggled to gain ground in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina.
Joe Biden lagged behind Donald Trump
Before Kamala Harris became the Democratic nominee, Biden was lagging behind Trump, long before US Presidential Debate June 27. Despite narrow margins in key Great Lakes states and wider gaps in the Sun Belt, Harris is performing better and voters view her as a more reliable leader overall.
Polling data from the Wall Street Journal, Quinnipiac and Suffolk/USA Today show Kamala Harris leading with 48%, 49% and 48%, respectively, while Donald Trump is at 47%, 48% and 43% in those surveys.
