US Election 2024: With just six weeks to go until the presidential battle between US Vice President Kamala Harris and former US President Donald Trump in November, Americans began voting in person for the first time on Friday. The US states of Virginia, South Dakota and Minnesota saw voters line up to cast their ballots.
As Kamala Harris has taken the reins Since US President Joe Biden announced his candidacy, many polls have shown an increase in the Democratic candidate’s chances. According to a poll conducted by The economistThe latest polling averages show Harris leading by 50 points, eight points ahead of Donald Trump’s average of 46 points.
Another poll conducted by Outward Intelligence on September 20 shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by 6.6 points. The poll shows Harris with 51.2% support among likely voters, while Trump trails with 44.6%. Meanwhile, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. received just 2.4% of the vote, with all other candidates receiving less than 1% of the vote. Other post-debate polls such as the Philadelphia Inquirer, the New York Times, and Siena College also show Harris with 50% and Trump with 46%.
Kamala Harris leads in Pennsylvania
A poll by USA Today and Suffolk University released Sept. 16 shows Harris leading Trump in Pennsylvania, a key swing state, 49 percent to 46 percent. The survey of 500 state residents has a margin of error of 4.4 percent, indicating the race remains too close to call.
The survey also highlighted that Harris has won significant support among young voters and people of color, showing a 24-point shift among young voters, an 18-point increase among Hispanics and a 17-point gain among black voters, USA Today also reported.
What the Electoral College Votes Might Say
In addition to the polls, American statistician Nate Silver revealed that Kamala Harris has a 48.9% chance of winning the popular vote, giving her a nearly 3% lead over Trump, who has 46%, according to USA Today. Silver’s projections suggest that Kamala Harris has a 25% chance of winning the popular vote while losing in the Electoral College, the system used in the country. WE elect the president.
Silver’s prediction showed Trump had a 56.2% chance of winning the Electoral College vote, while Harris trailed with 43.5%.